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epic covid rant & europe 

I was never happy about how most of Europe handled covid, but with the vaccines on the way I thought there will be time to talk about it once we're over this.

But with the increased certainty that the mutation in the UK/SA results in higher transmission, it's time to unload: Europe, EU countries and the EU itself fucking failed.

Europe could have pursued a zero-covid strategy, it would have worked and we'd be back to normal lives already. Instead...

epic covid rant & europe 

we got politicians puttering on about the economy, despite most reputable economists saying that fighting the virus would be the best for the economy. NZ/AUS/Taiwan/South Korea proved that.

Fuck you, Sebastian Kurz - protecting the economy? If we'd have had science-driven decisions you'd have known you can't fucking cap an exponentially spreading disease, either you go for elimination or it just keeps coming back and endless lockdowns.

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epic covid rant & europe 

Oh, let's take a summer break, then let's pretend nothing is happening in the autumn, then let's "protect" xmas shopping then let's leave the skilifts operating.

There is always an excuse for prolonging this misery.

But then, there are costs: allowing mutations to pop up is a function of how widespread a virus is, we wouldn't have gotten this faster spreading variant if not for the huge number of people getting infected.

Now we get to....

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epic covid rant & europe 

...watch ICUs crash before the vaccine has time to arrive, the virus will be faster.

Great move, geniuses "to balance the economy", yeah. Now many more people will die and we'll suffer more in isolation or with long-term sideeffects.

There were many, many mistakes but the lack of political drive at most levels in the EU to go for elimination is the biggest.

I wonder if there were competent US leadership if things wouldn't have been different.

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epic covid rant & europe 

Trump's vaccine handling is eerily similar as if someone was thinking "how do I kill the most people?".

Compared to that Europe looks better, I wonder what would have happened wtih solid leadership in the US, would we have gone for elimination?

Oh and btw I never want to hear about large countries and expertise again:

There is tiny 300k Iceland who has done the best in Europe, followed by Finland and Norway.

What they have is equitable societies and solid leadership.

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epic covid rant & europe 

It would have been easy to go for elimination, the cases in Europe in the summer were low enough that we would have needed only a bit more effort and communication to get it done.

Unconscionable.

Going for elimination would have ment looking for solutions instead of excuses:
- yes, Schengen exists so setup a system in EU where regions lock down from each other based on circulation and case counts, borders CAN and should be used for control (UK doesn't even screen at...

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epic covid rant & europe 

...airports atm)
- contact tracing and testing would have been important, asian states have shown the way with backwards tracing to clusters, so why are we still focused on forward tracing?
- why did we use shitty phone tracking apps? mobile providers and large tech companies have much more precise data and they used it for fucking ads. That data + credit card purchases etc should have been used to contact trace - have debate after the pandemic about it
- let the govt...

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epic covid rant & europe 

...foot the bill for people staying home, why the incessant debates about this or that sector. Go for elimination, do it and keep people at home in that period.

It would have been way better than yo-yo lockdowns and then people and industries slowly going bankrupt. But you "protected the economy", good job asshole.

Most of Europe should reexamine the leadership/political failure and how we approach crises. And no, pandemic preparedness planning wouldn't have helped.

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epic covid rant & europe 

That depends on leaders willing to execute said plans.

And it would have depended on leaders knowing what they're doing. Instead, we got shitty modelling scenarios, arguments about which lockdown measure is the best and which thing should be prioritized over what sector for lockdowns.

Great, we can keep debating whether to keep schools open before restaurants or how precisely should testing look like until the end of next year.

SUCH a huge failure of the imagination.

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epic covid rant & europe 

I'm tired of it all, this has been a discouraging year.

But we should examine what went wrong, where we can NAY should improve and how to avoid inflicting anything like this ever again on ourselves.

(Yes, I do not want to go through the same shit when I'm old, if I get to live long enough for that to happen.)

FIN

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epic covid rant & europe and bmj 

Here is the bmj on elimination as a strategy:

bmj.com/content/371/bmj.m4907

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re: epic covid rant & europe 

@szbalint science-driven decisions, indeed. I want you to know that I felt that all the way across the pond, man.

epic covid rant & europe 

@szbalint *waves ruefully in American*

epic covid rant & europe 

@szbalint The thing I find bizarre is that some of the countries did that; I'm pretty sure both Czechia and Germany shut their borders at the start of the 1st wave and had relatively low counts; but blew it on the 2nd wave - I'm not sure how. I'm not sure elimination was feasible though.

epic covid rant & europe 

@penguin42 they blew it by saying "oh, counts are nice low, let's open everything up"

instead of going for elimination.

epic covid rant & europe 

@szbalint Same for the Netherlands, so reactive to everything. Like hey maybe do something before black friday to make sure people don't go en mass to the the stores?

epic covid rant & europe 

@szbalint *cries in group immunity*

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